Seventeen months after Prime Minister Narendra Modi's call to reach out to Muslims, especially the economically backward, the community's voting patterns pose a challenge to BJP's target of securing 30 Lok Sabha seats in Bengal. Experts suggest that the communal overtones in BJP's campaign speeches, especially post the first three phases, have influenced Muslim voters. Mamata Banerjee's projection of CAA as a threat to both Hindus and Muslims further fuels the polarization.
The cancellation of OBC status to 77 Muslim communities by the Calcutta High Court also plays a role in polarizing the electorate. With Muslims comprising a significant voting bloc in Bengal, their consolidation against BJP seems apparent. However, the BJP still holds hope, particularly among conservative Hindu voters, while the liberal Bengali Hindus may lean towards TMC. Amidst these dynamics, the BJP's performance in South Bengal, heavily influenced by Muslim votes, remains critical to its electoral fortunes.